Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1291.995623 1467.404461 1661.772141 1893.793896 2164.098896 2470.098349 2844.193908
2025-10-12 1031.975109 1266.110431 1549.871279 1921.987712 2401.358039 3003.865291 3827.567307
2025-10-19 889.269742 1147.830300 1480.423777 1945.339542 2587.567966 3457.056419 4746.795869
2025-10-26 789.092332 1060.394454 1426.408170 1965.299120 2753.918572 3890.461570 5698.617607
2025-11-02 724.079540 1007.536676 1406.150472 2020.551404 2967.306174 4411.485861 6862.891160
2025-11-09 661.726303 948.627231 1366.744602 2037.420797 3118.981536 4854.646346 7979.433334
2025-11-16 608.391546 895.561126 1327.621324 2046.040136 3253.658875 5284.554884 9148.297311
2025-11-23 566.198077 853.995773 1299.946529 2066.769718 3407.153945 5764.307971 10494.718866
2025-11-30 532.909444 822.331112 1283.403587 2101.894101 3587.231444 6314.874449 12083.798561
2025-12-07 486.737852 765.264495 1219.223784 2046.676418 3596.134123 6547.625294 13077.059057
2025-12-14 446.304009 713.846474 1159.169471 1991.033902 3595.111592 6757.993679 14061.814917
2025-12-21 409.222082 664.822762 1098.498672 1927.030174 3568.538097 6910.987997 14947.653674
2025-12-28 395.663481 655.813315 1108.255689 1998.267898 3825.236093 7706.840801 17558.365941
2026-01-04 376.991696 636.322579 1097.600006 2029.622454 4006.593044 8377.010112 20051.986221
2026-01-11 359.244543 616.790780 1084.697657 2054.426952 4176.849742 9052.071979 22744.467174
2026-01-18 342.676445 597.912598 1071.042630 2075.690649 4341.928075 9745.138619 25688.176566
2026-01-25 331.940398 588.910558 1075.287837 2134.554789 4601.053432 10719.026264 29755.569274
2026-02-01 317.455301 571.538010 1061.390968 2152.530208 4766.542993 11486.639967 33439.809076
2026-02-08 303.226378 553.503553 1044.473674 2161.715235 4911.958163 12230.285324 37300.572666
2026-02-15 291.378215 539.208567 1033.858300 2183.806880 5093.140949 13111.013694 41954.311648
2026-02-22 281.798641 528.686918 1030.097196 2221.244200 5319.994921 14172.990073 47683.124112
2026-03-01 264.413031 501.041506 987.740546 2162.393292 5281.635836 14434.637292 50430.257019
2026-03-08 248.336463 475.031240 946.922271 2103.105622 5234.120969 14660.892612 53134.831687